The random variable is normally distributed with mean and variance .
- (a)
Find .
- (b)
The mean of a random sample of independent observations of is denoted by .
Find the least value of such that the probability that differs from by at least is less than 0.4.
- (c)
In another random sample of independent observations of , the probability that at least 4 of these observations exceeds each is at most 0.95. Find the greatest value of .
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Worked solution
6(a)
1. Standardise the variable $X$ to the standard normal variable $Z$.
2. Evaluate the probability.
6(b)
1. State the distribution of the sample mean $\overline{X}$.
Since , the sample mean of independent observations is distributed as:
2. Formulate the condition given in the question and use symmetry.
The probability that differs from by at least is less than 0.4:
By the symmetry of the normal distribution,
3. Standardise the variable and form an inequality for $n$.
Standardising using :
4. Solve the inequality to find the least integer $n$.
Using the graphing calculator, the value of such that is approximately .
Because is a strictly decreasing function of , we require:
Since must be an integer, the least value of is .
6(c)
1. Identify the success probability from part (a) and define the binomial distribution model.
From part (a), the probability that a single observation exceeds is:
Let be the number of observations out of that exceed .
2. Formulate the probability inequality for the required condition.
We are given that the probability of at least 4 such observations is at most :
Rewriting this using the complement:
3. Solve for the greatest value of $m$ using a graphing calculator.
Using the table function on a graphing calculator to test integer values of :
When ,
When ,
Hence, the greatest integer value of satisfying the condition is 13.
13
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