A bag contains some green counters, some orange counters and some yellow counters.
The probability of picking a green counter at random is 0.2.
The probability of picking an orange counter at random is 0.1 more than the probability of choosing a yellow counter at random.

  1. (a)

    Show that the probability of picking a yellow counter at random is 0.35.

    Answer

  2. (b)

    If there are 14 yellow counters, how many counters are there altogether?

    Answer ... counters

  3. (c)

    If 3 orange counters are removed, what is the new probability of picking a yellow counter at random?

    Answer ...

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Worked solution

15(a)

1. Represent the yellow and orange probabilities and use the total probability of all colours.

Let the probability of picking a yellow counter be yy.

Then the probability of picking an orange counter is y+0.1y+0.1.

Since the bag contains only green, orange and yellow counters,
0.2+(y+0.1)+y=10.2+(y+0.1)+y=1
2y+0.3=12y+0.3=1
2y=0.72y=0.7
y=0.35y=0.35

Answer

Hence, the probability of picking a yellow counter is 0.350.35.

15(b)

1. Relate the number of yellow counters to the total number of counters using the yellow probability.

Let the total number of counters be TT.

Since the probability of picking a yellow counter is 0.350.35 and there are 1414 yellow counters,
0.35T=140.35T=14

2. Solve for the total number of counters.

T=140.35=40T=\frac{14}{0.35}=40

Answer

4040 counters

15(c)

1. Find the original number of orange counters.

From part (a),
P(yellow)=0.35P(\text{yellow})=0.35
Since the probability of orange is 0.10.1 more than the probability of yellow,
P(orange)=0.35+0.1=0.45P(\text{orange})=0.35+0.1=0.45
From part (b), the total number of counters is 4040.
Number of orange counters=0.45×40=18\text{Number of orange counters}=0.45\times 40=18

2. Update the total number of counters after removing 3 orange counters and find the new probability of yellow.

After removing 33 orange counters,
new total number of counters=40−3=37\text{new total number of counters}=40-3=37
The number of yellow counters is still 1414.
P(yellow)=1437P(\text{yellow})=\frac{14}{37}

Answer

1437\dfrac{14}{37}

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