B部分:统计学 [60分]
一家公司想要了解其员工的通勤习惯。在某个特定的工作日,调查员通过以下方式从进入公司大楼的员工中抽取样本进行访谈:
- 站在大楼入口处,随机选择前10名进入大楼的员工中的一人,
- 然后在选定第一名员工后,每隔10名员工选择一人。
- (i)
这种抽样方法称为什么?
- (ii)
在此情境下,指出第 (i) 部分所述抽样方法的一个缺点。
- (iii)
简要说明调查员如何利用配额抽样选择一个包含 30 名员工的样本。
它不会直接告诉你答案,而是问你卡在哪一步看看 AI 是怎么陪你一步步弄懂这道题的
完整解法
5(i)
1. Identify the sampling method from the given description
The method involves selecting a random starting point among the first employees and then picking every th employee thereafter. This defines systematic sampling.
Systematic sampling
5(ii)
1. State a context-specific disadvantage of systematic sampling.
A key disadvantage of systematic sampling is its vulnerability to periodic patterns in the population. In this context, employees arriving by the same transport mode (like a bus or train) might enter the building in groups at regular intervals. Choosing every 10th person might consistently pick people from these same groups or miss them entirely, leading to a biased representation of transportation habits.
(Alternatively, practically, it may be difficult for the interviewer to accurately keep track of every 10th employee during the morning peak hour when many employees walk in at the same time).
If there is a periodic pattern in the arrival of employees (e.g. employees taking the same bus or MRT arriving in batches), selecting every 10th employee may result in a biased sample that over-represents or under-represents certain transportation habits.
5(iii)
1. State the division of the population into categories and the setting of quotas.
The interviewer divides the population of employees into mutually exclusive categories (for example, by gender or department) and sets a specific quota for each category such that the total number of employees to be selected adds up to .
2. Explain the non-random selection process to fulfil the quotas.
The interviewer then stands at the entrance and approaches employees non-randomly (e.g., choosing the first individuals available who fit the required categories) and stops interviewing once the quota for every category has been exactly fulfilled.
The interviewer decides on categories and a quota for each category such that the total sample size is 30 (e.g., 15 male and 15 female employees). The interviewer then non-randomly selects employees (such as the first 15 males and first 15 females to walk in) until the quotas for all categories are met.
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