Designer bag X was first released in 1950. The price, VV, of the bag is related to tt, the number of years since 1950, by the formula V=aekt,V = ae^{kt}, where aa and kk are constants. The table below gives the value of bag X in 1984, 2002, 2008, and 2012.
Year1984200220082012
t (years)34525862
V ($)1150285040004900

  1. (a)
    1. (i)

      On graph paper, plot ln V against t and draw a straight line graph.

      Use a scale of 2 cm to 0.5 on the vertical ln V-axis, starting from ln V = 5.0.

      Use a scale of 2 cm to 10 years on the t-axis, starting from t = 0.

      On graph paper, plot ln V against t and draw a straight line graph.

      Use a scale of 2 cm to 0.5 on the vertical ln V-axis, starting from ln V = 5.0.

      Use a scale of 2 cm to 10 years on the t-axis, starting from t = 0.

    2. (ii)

      Use your graph to estimate the value of a and of k.

    3. (iii)

      Estimate the year that the value of the bag will hit $7000.

  2. (b)

    The variables x and y are related by the equation y=ax−by = \frac{a}{x-b} where a and b are constants. Express the equation in a form suitable for drawing a straight line graph, and explain how the values of a and b may be obtained from the graph.

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Worked solution

7(a)(i)

1. Calculate the values of $\ln V$ for each given $t$

For t=34t = 34, ln⁡V=ln⁡(1150)≈7.05\ln V = \ln(1150) \approx 7.05
For t=52t = 52, ln⁡V=ln⁡(2850)≈7.96\ln V = \ln(2850) \approx 7.96
For t=58t = 58, ln⁡V=ln⁡(4000)≈8.29\ln V = \ln(4000) \approx 8.29
For t=62t = 62, ln⁡V=ln⁡(4900)≈8.50\ln V = \ln(4900) \approx 8.50

2. Plot the points and draw the line of best fit

Plot the points (34,7.05)(34, 7.05), (52,7.96)(52, 7.96), (58,8.29)(58, 8.29), and (62,8.50)(62, 8.50) on the graph paper using the specified scales and draw a straight line passing through or close to these points.

Answer

A straight line graph plotted with points (34,7.05)(34, 7.05), (52,7.96)(52, 7.96), (58,8.29)(58, 8.29), and (62,8.50)(62, 8.50).

7(a)(ii)

1. Express the given equation in linear form

V=aektV = ae^{kt}
Taking natural logarithms on both sides:
ln⁡V=ln⁡(aekt)\ln V = \ln(ae^{kt})
ln⁡V=kt+ln⁡a\ln V = kt + \ln a
This is in the form Y=mX+cY = mX + c, where Y=ln⁡VY = \ln V, X=tX = t, gradient m=km = k, and YY-intercept c=ln⁡ac = \ln a.

2. Calculate the gradient to find $k$

Using the points (34,7.05)(34, 7.05) and (62,8.50)(62, 8.50) from the graph:
k=gradient=8.50−7.0562−34k = \text{gradient} = \frac{8.50 - 7.05}{62 - 34}
k=1.4528≈0.0518k = \frac{1.45}{28} \approx 0.0518

3. Find the $Y$-intercept to calculate $a$

From the graph, the YY-intercept (where t=0t = 0) is approximately 5.295.29.
ln⁡a=5.29\ln a = 5.29
a=e5.29≈198a = e^{5.29} \approx 198

Answer

a≈198a \approx 198, k≈0.0518k \approx 0.0518

7(a)(iii)

1. Substitute $V = 7000$ and the estimated values of $a$ and $k$ from part (a)(ii) into the equation

Using the estimated values from the graph (e.g., a≈196a \approx 196 and k≈0.052k \approx 0.052):
V=aektV = ae^{kt}
7000=196e0.052t7000 = 196e^{0.052t}

2. Solve for $t$ and determine the corresponding year

e0.052t=7000196e^{0.052t} = \frac{7000}{196}
0.052t=ln⁡(7000196)0.052t = \ln\left(\frac{7000}{196}\right)
0.052t≈3.57550.052t \approx 3.5755
t≈68.76t \approx 68.76

The year is 1950+68=20181950 + 68 = 2018.

Answer

2018

7(b)

1. Rearrange the equation into a linear form $Y = mX + c$

y=ax−by = \frac{a}{x-b}
y(x−b)=ay(x-b) = a
xy−by=axy - by = a
xy=by+axy = by + a

2. Identify the variables to plot and explain how to find the constants

Comparing xy=by+axy = by + a with Y=mX+cY = mX + c:

  • Plot Y=xyY = xy against X=yX = y.
  • The gradient mm corresponds to bb.
  • The vertical intercept cc corresponds to aa.
Answer

Plot xyxy against yy. The value of bb is the gradient of the line, and the value of aa is the vertical intercept.

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